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Sports Betting System.
Release date: 2013-03-24.
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File Distribution Notice of Sports Betting System Freeware - Sports Betting System Free Download - 2000 Shareware periodically updates software information of Sports Betting System from the publisher, so some information may be slightly out-of-date. You should confirm all information before relying on it. Software piracy is theft, Using Sports Betting System crack, password, registration codes, key generators, serial numbers is illegal.
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п»їUK betting faces bigger threats than losing its sport shirts.
Industry fears the government’s review of gambling laws could introduce ‘existential’ changes.
Dave Chisnall during the Ladbrokes Masters tournament at the Marshall Arena, Milton Keynes. Las Vegas casino operator MGM is bidding for Ladbrokes Photograph: Zac Goodwin/PA.
Dave Chisnall during the Ladbrokes Masters tournament at the Marshall Arena, Milton Keynes. Las Vegas casino operator MGM is bidding for Ladbrokes Photograph: Zac Goodwin/PA.
Last modified on Mon 1 Feb 2021 09.05 GMT.
T he long-awaited government review of Britain’s gambling laws is well and truly under way, with renewed warnings in recent days that the logos of betting firms are to be banned from the shirts of Premier League footballers and other sports stars.
As the Guardian has previously reported, the gambling industry is now facing the prospect of a sports sponsorship ban similar to that imposed on tobacco, a reform campaigners say is long overdue.
However, while speculation swirls around shirt sponsorship, more profound if less eye-catching reforms are being considered in a process that could herald a seismic upheaval of the regulatory landscape.
The 2005 Gambling Act – Blair-era legislation that currently governs the industry – dispelled the notion that gambling was a sordid habit practised behind beaded curtains, recasting it as a mainstream leisure activity.
Fifteen years on, after the iPhone put a casino in every pocket, calls for a rethink have mounted, borne on a tide of addiction horror stories and public distaste for gambling’s saturation of sport – football in particular.
The Betting and Gaming Council (BGC), the industry lobbying mouthpiece formed in 2018, has welcomed the moment of reckoning. According to one leading analyst, they’re not just making nice.
“The industry really means it because the wide-open uncertainty is really difficult to plan for,” said Alun Bowden, senior consultant at Eilers & Krejcik Gaming.
“There is a lot here that could have big impacts on revenues, share prices and jobs.”
The ban on sponsorship of football shirts is more eye-catching than a genuine threat to betting revenues, says Bowden.
Others measures could have far-reaching, even existential, consequences.
Web-based casino income has been rising consistently, up from £2.36bn in 2016 to £3.2bn in the year to March 2020. That is about 30% of the industry’s annual £10.8bn take (excluding the national lottery).
When an influential cross-party group of MPs called for a £2 limit on online casino stakes – to match curbs on fixed-odds betting terminals (FOBTs) – gambling shares plunged.
Any accompanying limits on how much gamblers can deposit or lose could also prove critical.
“It’s impossible to gauge the potential impact but it’s not improbable some operators could lose more than half their current gaming revenues if the limits are really harsh,” said Bowden.
Alongside the government review, the Gambling Commission has been examining affordability checks that could be drawn on when setting any deposit limits.
Another senior analyst, Dan Waugh of Regulus Partners, thinks such barriers could create enough friction in the betting process to crimp activity significantly.
“If it’s the case that consumers are required to produce bank statements or payslips in order to gamble above a certain amount, a significant number of people would not bother,” said Waugh.
Another potential hit could come from any move to dilute the potency of “in-play” betting.
Pioneered by Bet365, this allows punters to place swift, frequent bets on who will score the next goal or even win the next corner, while the game goes on. By 2015, it accounted for 80% of the company’s revenue.
With in-play at its heart, the soaraway UK football betting market has grown into a £1bn-a-year cash cow – nearly twice what the industry makes from horse racing.
In Spain, regulators have said that in-play bets can only be placed with funds that were already in the account when the game began, to prevent impulsive depositing.
Something similar, or tougher, could have major ramifications, according to Bowden.
“The concerns around in-play are reasonable, but you would hope the regulator will take the time to really understand the product and any risks to the customers before making changes,” he said.
UK gambling firms’ best weapon in the fight against tough regulation is to raise the spectre of a resulting rise in black market operators.
There is some irony in this given that many of those same firms operate in jurisdictions where gambling is not permitted, providing a market that is, if not black, charcoal grey.
But the risk of a UK black market is more than a paper tiger, according to some.
“Illegal offshore is a proper threat to bear in mind,” said one senior executive, who is otherwise broadly supportive of tougher regulation.
“You’ve got to be careful and reasonable in what you do. A £2 limit on table games [such as online roulette] would give you a problem with the black market.”
The underfunded and much-criticised regulator, the Gambling Commission, is likely to be given greater muscle to prevent this but it isn’t clear how effective it could be in practice.
With so much hanging in the balance, lobbying campaigns are ramping up. The industry, in particular, has some friends in high places.
BGC boss Michael Dugher is a pugnacious ex-Labour MP with a bulging phonebook of Westminster contacts.
His close friend, the former Labour deputy leader Tom Watson, was one of the most influential parliamentarians on gambling reform but took an advisory role with Paddy Power owner Flutter earlier this year, after resigning as an MP.
Meanwhile, the BGC recently started paying serving Tory MP Laurence Robertson ВЈ2,000 a month, ostensibly for advice on safer gambling. Colleague Philip Davies MP has pocketed ВЈ50,000 from Entain in advance of the review.
On the other side of the fence are campaign groups and MPs who favour tighter curbs on online gambling. The coalition of reformers continue to receive financial support from Derek Webb, the wealthy ex-professional poker player and casino game inventor.
His low-profile backing has sparked claims, as yet unsupported, of self-interested meddling by the casino industry.
Until a 16-week call for evidence ends in spring next year, the roulette wheel is still spinning and those seeking to influence the outcome can still lay their chips.
None of that mattered to Las Vegas casino operator MGM in its bid for Ladbrokes and Coral owner Entain, or to MGM’s Sin City rival Caesars Entertainment, which bought William Hill for £2.9bn last year.
They have their eyes on the ongoing spread of legal sports betting across the US. The Californian market alone, yet to open up, would probably be bigger than the UK.
MGM could well make another tilt at Entain, once a six-month cooling-off period is over.
For gambling firms and their investors the cavalry is on its way, whether they stay independent or succumb to a bid. The UK may be cracking down but America is opening up, presenting a new world of opportunity. The house always wins.


Ladbrokes Football Betting: Odds & Tips.
• by Football Whispers.
Get the most out of football betting at Ladbrokes with our tips.
Promotions and Bonuses for Football Betting at Ladbrokes.
Ladbrokes offers a nice welcome bonus for new players that you can use for betting on football but there are other interesting promotions available as well.
Ladbrokes Sign Up Offer for Sports Betting.
When you open a new account at Ladbrokes, you can claim ВЈ20 in free bets and use those free bets to bet on any sport, including football.
All that you have to do in order to claim this promo is to place a bet of at least ВЈ5 on any sport. Keep in mind that your qualifying bet has to be placed on odds of at least 1/2 (1.5). If your qualifying bet is an accumulator bet, all selections on the betslip must have odds of at least 1/2 (1.5).
After your qualifying bet settles, you will receive 4 free bets, each worth ВЈ5. You can place the free bets on any sport, except for tote or pools. When you receive your free bets, you have 7 days to use them.
Ladbrokes Insurance for Accumulator Bets.
Accumulator bets are often more popular than single bets, so if you like to bet on multiple games you should know that Ladbrokes offers insurance on your accu bets. This insurance can be claimed on one accu bet each day, as long as it has 5 or more selections. Also, each selection must have odds of at least 1/10 (1.1), while the accumulator as a whole should have combined odds of at least 3/1 (4.00).
This insurance will become active if one of your selection loses, in which case you will receive a free bet in the amount of your stake, up to ВЈ10.
Most Popular Football Events at Ladbrokes.
Ladbrokes offers a wide variety of football events you can bet on, including club football and international football.
English Premier League – One of the Best.
English Premier League is not only popular in the UK – it is one of the most-watched leagues across the world.
Ladbrokes provides a wide variety of betting markets for all Premier League games. Additionally, you can be on all Premier League games live.
FIFA World Cup – Bet On International Football.
Although the World Cup is only played every four years, it is one of the most popular football events globally.
Ladbrokes offers many betting options for the World Cup, including various specials. Also, World Cup Qualifications from each continent are covered extensively at Ladbrokes.
Virtual Football – As Good as the Real Thing.
Even though virtual football is a lot different than real football, it does have certain advantages.
First of all, games are played every 3 minutes and there are many different markets you can bet on, including final score, correct score, over/under, double chance, etc. Also, the odds for virtual football are better than odds for real-life football.
Live Betting and Live Streaming at Ladbrokes.
Ladbrokes has a very extensive live betting section where you can bet on many sports. However, the main star of live betting is football, with a great variety of markets you can bet on – although the number of markets is not as high as it is for pre-game betting.
The live betting section at Ladbrokes also includes live stats from all football matches, like shots on goal, corners, cards, etc.
You can also watch live streams of football games at Ladbrokes, as well as some other sports like tennis, basketball and horse racing. When it comes to football, there are dozens of European leagues that you can watch. Live streaming at Ladbrokes is free but you must have a funded account to access it.
Solid Odds for Football Games at Ladbrokes.
Ladbrokes is not the best bookie when it comes to football odds but it is among the top operators in this area as well. The betting margins for football at Ladbrokes are around 6%, which is a bit higher than the average of 4.5%.
We have tested this by choosing random football games from various leagues across Europe, including the English Premier League, Spanish La Liga and German Bundesliga, among others. The odds varied from 104% to 107%, with the average margin in our testing coming to about 6.2%.
Get Your Betting Tips at Ladbrokes to Boost Your Chances.
Some bookies provide their bettors with a blog where they analyze football games and present betting tips. Although Ladbrokes doesn’t have this per se, it does have something similar. It is called The Grid Card.
The Grid Card is an exclusive part of Ladbrokes, similar to a VIP or loyalty program. It is completely free and comes with many benefits.
When you join The Grid, you can take advantage of exclusive features but you can also get betting tips and read the latest sports news. In fact, you can use a unique app called Football Buddy if you need help to create your acca bet.
Ladbrokes Best Features and Other Benefits.
Ladbrokes is one of the most versatile betting operators in the world, so let’s take a look at some of their best features.
Cash Out Feature – Gain Control of Your Bets.
Ladbrokes provides you with the Cash Out feature, which allows you to get out of your bet before the match is over. This way, you can get out of a losing bet and save some of your money or you can minimize the risk of losing on a bet that is going well.
Betting Exchange – Try a Different Approach.
One thing that is unique to Ladbrokes and only a few other bookies is the betting exchange.
The betting exchange allows you to bet against other bettors and set your own odds, while Ladbrokes takes a percentage of each bet instead of earning their profits on betting margins.
Since you need someone to accept your bet, you may struggle to find markets for some less popular sports. However, it is smart to try out the exchange for football betting since you can get better odds compared to regular sportsbooks.
Bet Tracking – Stay Informed at All Times.
If you join The Grid at Ladbrokes, you will be able to track your bets directly on the website or at your phone. All you have to do is enter the 13/14 digit bet number located on your bet receipt and click “Track” to receive updates about your bet.
Football Betting at Ladbrokes – Fun and Pragmatic.
When you bet on football at Ladbrokes, you will be able to take advantage of many benefits, like various bonuses and promotions, solid odds, an extensive number of leagues and markets, live streaming, etc.
Overall, it is a satisfying experience and it shows why Ladbrokes is one of the best bookies in the UK after all these years in the business.




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п»їBetting Odds Explained.
More for Beginners.
Betting Odds Explained What is a Betting Exchange? Betfair v Smarkets Betfair Exchange Guide Smarkets Exchange Guide.
Matched betting is available to everyone, even those of you who have never placed a bet before. If that’s you and you want to know more about betting odds, you’re in the right place!
In this guide, I’ll explain what betting odds are, how they work and how we can use them to work out the probability of an event occurring.
What are betting odds?
Betting odds are numbers used by bookmakers to represent the probability of an outcome occurring and tell us how much they’re willing to pay out on a winning bet.
Betting odds may seem a little confusing to start with, but they’re actually quite straightforward once you’re familiar with them.
What is probability?
Probability is the likelihood of an outcome happening and is usually displayed as a percentage.
For example, if we were to toss a coin, there are two possible outcomes. There’s a 50% chance that the coin will land on heads and a 50% chance that the coin will land on tails.
How do betting odds work?
Betting odds are displayed as fractions or decimals and tell us how much we stand to win if our bet is successful.
Traditionally, bookmakers display their odds as fractions, such as 9/1 on England to win the World Cup.
Fractional odds explained.
Fractional odds tell us how much we stand to win in relation to our stake. The number on the left is the amount we stand to win if we stake the amount on the right.
So, if we bet £1.00 on England to win the World Cup at odds of 9/1, we’ll win £9.00. We’ll also get our £1.00 stake back, giving us total returns of £10.00.
Here are some other examples…
5/1 – We’ll win £5.00 for every £1.00 we bet 6/4 – We’ll win £6.00 for every £4.00 we bet 1/2 – We’ll win £1.00 for every £2.00 we bet.
Decimal odds explained.
Decimal odds show us how much a winning bet will return, inclusive of our stake. We simply multiply our stake by the odds, to get our total returns.
So, if we bet £1.00 on England to win the World Cup at odds of 10.00, we’ll get £10.00 back, which includes our £1.00 stake.
Here are some other examples…
6.00 – A £1.00 bet would return £6.00 2.50 – A £4.00 bet would return £10.00 1.50 – A £2.00 bet would return £3.00.
As you can see, the fractional odds of 9/1 and the decimal odds of 10.00 return exactly the same amount. They’re just different ways of displaying things.
Which odds format is best?
I think if you asked a regular punter, they would probably favour fractional odds because that’s what they’re used to betting with.
When it comes to matched betting though, decimal odds are the clear winner. They’re much easier to compare at a glance, which is an essential part of the matched betting process. Betting exchanges display their odds as decimals too, so it makes sense all round to go with decimals.
To illustrate just how much easier decimal odds are to compare than fractions, take a look at the following graphics…
I’m sure you’ll agree, it’s much easier to compare the decimal odds at a glance than it is their fractional equivalents above.
What are moneyline odds?
You won’t ever need to use them for matched betting, but they’re worth mentioning as you’ll no doubt come across them as an option at some point.
Fractional to decimal odds.
We shouldn’t need to manually convert odds all that often as we can simply change our odds preference at the bookmakers.
I’ve also created an Odds Converter tool that will help you convert fractional, decimal and moneyline odds into your preferred format. You can also get the implied probability of an outcome happening based on the odds you’ve entered.
To be honest though, after a while you’ll probably find yourself converting odds in your head without even thinking.
Example.
In this example, we’ll convert fractional odds of 9/1 into decimal odds.
To do this, we simply divide the number on the left by the number on the right and then add one, which accounts for our stake…
So, fractional odds of 9/1 is the same as decimal odds of 10.00.
Here are some other examples…
5/1 – 5 divided by 1 equals 5, plus 1 equals 6.00 6/4 – 6 divided by 4 equals 1.5, plus 1 equals 2.50 1/2 – 1 divided by 2 equals 0.5, plus 1 equals 1.50.
Calculating implied probability.
Implied probability is simply the conversion of betting odds into a percentage. It gives us a rough idea of how likely something is to happen.
The actual probability of an outcome happening is usually a little less than the implied probability. This is because betting odds factor in the bookmaker’s margin. Bookmakers offer odds that they believe are lower than the actual chances of something happening. This is how they make their money in the long-term.
Example 1.
In this example, we’ll calculate implied probability from fractional odds of 9/1.
To do this, we simply divide the number on the right by the sum of both numbers and then multiply by 100…
So, if something has fractional odds of 9/1, it has an implied probability of 10%.
Here are some other examples…
5/1 – 1 divided by 6, then multiplied by 100, equals 16.7% 6/4 – 4 divided by 10 , then multiplied by 100, equals 40% 1/2 – 2 divided by 3 , then multiplied by 100, equals 66.7%
Example 2.
In this example, we’ll calculate implied probability from decimal odds of 10.00.
To do this, we simply divide one by the decimal odds and then multiply by 100…
So, if something has decimal odds of 10.00, it has an implied probability of 10%.
Here are some other examples…
6.00 – 1 divided by 6.00, then multiplied by 100, equals 16.7% 2.50 – 1 divided by 2.50 , then multiplied by 100, equals 40% 1.50 – 1 divided by 1.50 , then multiplied by 100, equals 66.7%
Final words.
That’s pretty much everything you need to know about betting odds and how they work.
In a nutshell, betting odds give us a rough probability of an event occurring and they tell us how much money our bet will return if it wins.
Don’t worry if things still feel a little alien at this point. I’ve every faith you’ll get to grips with them in no time!
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Odds Explained.
We got you covered with the best guide for odds, everything you need to know about odds.
What are Fractional Odds?
Fractional odds are the most traditional format of listing odds and show bettors the probability of an event happening – and how much can be made from a bet on that event.
How to Calculate Winnings with Fractional Odds?
As an example, we will use the fractional odds for an English soccer game.
You may see on BettingTop10 that Liverpool is 1/2 to win the game, while Watford is 5/1.
As you can see, the simple formula here is with an underdog is the number to the left of the slash, multiplied by your stake, equals the winnings.
With a favourite your stake is divided by the number to the right of the slash.
How to Convert Fractional Odds to Decimal Odds.
Most betting sites will have an inbuilt fractional odds calculator but here is a simple way to convert the odds.
Just divide the fraction and add 1.
In the examples we used before the odds for a Liverpool win would be 1.5.
The Watford decimal odds are 6.00.
Here is a handle conversion table covering some of the most popular betting odds.
1/2 = 1.50 1/1 = 2.00 2/1 = 3.00 3/1 = 4.00 4/1 = 5.00 5/1 = 6.00 10/1 = 11.00 25/1 = 26.00 50/1 = 51.00 100/1 = 101.00.
How to Convert Fractional Odds to American Odds.
In Canada, you may be more used to seeing American odds – but these can be converted. For underdog fractional odds (over 1/1) first convert into decimal then multiply by 100.
For favourites you will need to divide -100 by the fractional odds as a decimal.
1/2 = -100 divided by 1/2 (0.5) = -200.
Here’s the conversion table.
How to Calculate Winnings with Decimal Odds.
Decimal odds are also the easiest for working out potential winnings. You just need to multiply the odds by your stake.
For example, Manchester City might be priced at 3.00 to win the English Premier League. If you bet $10 on that outcome – and City win – you would get $30.
Stake ($10) x Odds (3.00) = Winnings ($30.00)
Unlike fractional odds, your calculated returns include the original stake.
What are Decimal Odds?
Decimal odds are a way of listing the betting prices that is commonly used in Europe and are probably the most straightforward method. They are portrayed as two figures separated by a decimal point.
What are American Odds?
For example, in an NFL game the odds could look like this:
How to Calculate Winnings with American Odds?
With an underdog, the odds show you how much you would receive from a $100 bet. The favourite’s odds tell you how much you would have to wager to make $100.
So, using the example from before, a $100 bet on Arizona could make you $300. A $100 bet on the Patriots would get you $50. The original stake would also be returned.
Point Spread Explained.
What is Point Spread in Betting?
The points spread is a market that is priced up by all Canadian bookmakers and is a way of making a seemingly one-sided contest into a more competitive one. Having the points spread explained can be tricky for beginners, so here at BettingTop10, we’ve compiled a short guide to this hugely popular method of wagering.
Some of the most popular leagues and competitions in Canada will stage a number of one-sided contests throughout the season and these ties tend to result in the hosts using home advantage in their favour. The points spread allows bettors to wager on a market that gives both teams a fighting chance.
The favourites would be required to overcome the pre-determined deficit in order to win the points spread whilst the underdogs would need to stay within a set number of points of the predicted match-winners.
If the favourites are -5.5 pre-match, they would be required to triumph by at least six points in order to overcome this handicap.
How to Calculate Winning Point Spread Odds?
Although it may appear a little complicated at first, calculating your winnings on the points spread market is relatively straightforward. Many reputable wagering sites also offer a Point Spread Calculator which will automatically work out your returns.
What is the Puck Line?
Whilst football and basketball are always priced up using the points spread. Hockey tends to use slightly different terminology. The Puck Line is essentially offering one side an advantage and the opposing team a disadvantage. With tighter games commonplace in the NHL, the margins are much smaller on the puck line.
Example:
On Wednesday 9 th October 2019, Dallas Stars face the Washington Capitals and Sports Interaction have priced up the puck line:
Washington Capitals -1.5.
The bookmakers are expecting a relatively close game between the pair. The smaller the points spread, the tighter the contest is likely to be.
The Capitals would be required to win by two clear points in order to pay-out on the points spread. If they won 3-1, you can subtract -1.5 from their total score (3) and they would still be leading (1.5-1). This would be chalked up as a victory on the points spread market.
Run Line.
Example:
Houston at Tampa (9 th Oct 2019)
Houston: J Verlander – 1.5 Points Spread @ 1.72.
What is a PK or Pick’em?
Occasionally there will be two teams that are extremely well-matched and there is no discernible difference between the pair. This is described as a ‘Pick’em’ and means that there is no favourite or underdog for the match. If you back either side in this situation – they must win the game in order for you to receive a pay-out.
What if it’s a Tie?
Ties are fairly common in sport and the bookmakers will simply ‘push’ the points spread market in the event of this occurrence. If the two teams cannot be separated then you get your money back. If you wagered $10 on -2.5 and the match ended 4-4, then your account would be re-credited with the $10 outlay once the game has concluded.


Decimal Odds in Sports Betting, Explained.
IAN KINGTON/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Alexandre Lacazette.
Decimal odds are the most popular type of odds around the world, and have two main advantages over American odds — they convert to probabilities much easier, and they’re slightly more intuitive once you’re familiar.
So how do decimal odds work?
Decimal odds represent the total return for every $1 wagered, including the money you risked.
An American moneyline at -110 is 1.91 in decimal odds. Why?
Because for every $1 you’re betting, you’re getting 91 cents back, plus the original dollar.
Therefore, any odds under 2.0 will represent a favorite. Any odds over 2.0 will be an underdog.
Use the links to jump to each section.
Calculating Payouts with Decimal Odds.
Calculating payouts with decimal odds is simple.
Just multiply your wager by the decimal odds, and you’re done.
Money Risked * Odds = Total Payout.
That $26 represents the $16 you’d profit from a Dolphins win, plus your original $10 back.
Your pal Norman wants to bet $10 on the Bills moneyline (-200 in American odds) in that same game. In decimal odds, that would be 1.5.
If the Bills win, he’ll get $20 back and profit $10 for a total of $30.
Why Use Decimal Odds?
The biggest reason to switch to decimal odds is because the conversion to probabilities is so easy. It’s the same whether you’re working with an underdog or favorite.
Converting American odds to implied probabilities requires slightly different formulas for favorites and underdogs.
For decimals, it’s the same no matter what you’re betting.
Another reason to use decimal odds is that they’re based around betting $1 and scale up and down easily, instead of being based on betting $100 like American odds.
How to Convert Decimal Odds to Implied Probability.
I promised converting decimal odds to implied probabilities was easy. So here we go.
The Bills at -200 (or 1.5 in decimal odds) would have an implied probability of 66.6%.
Converting American Odds to Decimal Odds.
Decimal odds start to look familiar when you’ve seen them enough.
For example, an NFL point spread at -110 is 1.91. That will become second nature quickly.
But at first, you’ll need to do some conversion, especially for favorites. You can use our odds converter, or do it by hand.
For Negative Odds: 1 – (100 / American Odds)
So converting the Bills from -200 is slightly different.
Converting Decimal Odds to American Odds.
If you still want to use American odds but only see a line in decimal odds at a European sportsbook, you can make the conversion.
To convert a decimal of 2.00 or higher: (Decimal odds – 1) * 100.
In our Bills-Dolphins example, you’d plug 2.6 into the following formula to convert back to American odds.
To convert a decimal of less than 2.00: (-100) / (Decimal Odds – 1)
For the Bills at 1.5, you’d do:
Should I Switch to Decimal Odds?
U.S. sportsbooks will default to show American odds, but you can switch to show decimal odds instead. It’s usually in the top right corner once you’re logged in.
It’s a personal preference, but if you’re serious about using basic math like implied probabilities when you bet, decimal odds will save you the extra conversion steps.


How To Read Odds.
Understanding betting odds is key to successful betting. If you do not understand betting odds and the probabilities that they imply, you will struggle to succeed in betting on sports long term.
You don’t need to be a math genius to succeed in betting on sports, but if you do not understand what betting odds reflect, you are setting yourself up for failure.
How to read American odds.
There are three popular odds formats:
Fractional Odds Decimal Odds American Odds.
For the purposes of this article, we will focus on American odds. Know your potential profits when you make a wager with this betting odds calculator.
American odds are presented as either positive or negative odds. The following is an example of American odds for an NBA game between the Los Angeles Lakers and Chicago Bulls.
Put Your Odds Knowledge to the Test.
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How to calculate implied probability.
As previously stated, understanding and calculating the implied probability in betting odds is key to long-term betting success at, for instance, Pointsbet Sportsbook.
So how do we calculate the implied probability in American odds?
Calculating the implied probability in positive American odds is quite simple:
So the implied probability of the Lakers winning the game is 0.4348 (or 43.48%). In this instance, the bookmakers believe the Lakers are a 43.48% chance of winning the game.
Calculating the implied probability in negative American odds is fairly straightforward:
So in our example, the Bulls are at odds of -140 to win the game. What is the implied probability of these odds?
So the implied probability of the Bulls winning the game is 0.5833, or 58.33%. In this case, the bookmakers see the Bulls as a 58.33% chance of winning the game.
Value bets.
As stated earlier, the key to successful betting is to bet only when there is value. In our example, we should only bet on either the Bulls or the Lakers if we determine that they are a better chance to win the game than what the odds represent.
If we believe the Lakers are a better chance to win than 43.48%, we should bet on them. If we believe the Bulls are a better chance to win than 58.33%, then likewise, we should bet on them.
Understanding betting odds is crucial to long-term betting success. Possessing an intimate grasp of betting odds and their implied probabilities is fundamental to profitable betting.
See real odds at online sportsbooks.
At many sportsbooks, you’re free to see the odds no matter what state you happen to be in. However, you can only place real money bets at online sportsbooks odds if you’re located in states that have legal sports betting.
However, if you want to bet on horses, you’re more in luck there! Many states allow for online horse racing betting and you can see odds at most of the big horse racing tracks around the world.
Betting Against The Odds.
In Summary: Betting Odds Explained.
Betting odds represent the probability of an outcome occurring and the return (profit) you will receive if your bet is a winner. It could be the likelihood of all of your final four betting picks being correct.
The probability represented by betting odds is often referred to as the ‘implied probability’. Understanding the implied probability is crucial. Why? Because you should only bet when you believe the probability of an outcome occurring is higher than the implied probability. But if you would like to learn more about betting odds and alternative odds formats, try this odds converter.
Let’s consider an example. Let’s say the New York Giants are facing the Washington Redskins in a regular season NFL game. The Giants are at odds of -110 to cover the betting line of -3.5 points. The probability implied in the odds -110 is 52.4%. You’ve done your research and have determined the Giants are a 60% chance to cover the -3.5 betting line. As 60% is greater than 52.4%, you have found what is commonly referred to as a ‘value bet’.
However, if following your research you determined that the Giants are only a 45% chance to cover the -3.5 points betting line, the implied probability of the odds is greater than your determined probability. You have not found a value bet and should not place a bet on the Giants.




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п»їUK betting faces bigger threats than losing its sport shirts.
Industry fears the government’s review of gambling laws could introduce ‘existential’ changes.
Dave Chisnall during the Ladbrokes Masters tournament at the Marshall Arena, Milton Keynes. Las Vegas casino operator MGM is bidding for Ladbrokes Photograph: Zac Goodwin/PA.
Dave Chisnall during the Ladbrokes Masters tournament at the Marshall Arena, Milton Keynes. Las Vegas casino operator MGM is bidding for Ladbrokes Photograph: Zac Goodwin/PA.
Last modified on Mon 1 Feb 2021 09.05 GMT.
T he long-awaited government review of Britain’s gambling laws is well and truly under way, with renewed warnings in recent days that the logos of betting firms are to be banned from the shirts of Premier League footballers and other sports stars.
As the Guardian has previously reported, the gambling industry is now facing the prospect of a sports sponsorship ban similar to that imposed on tobacco, a reform campaigners say is long overdue.
However, while speculation swirls around shirt sponsorship, more profound if less eye-catching reforms are being considered in a process that could herald a seismic upheaval of the regulatory landscape.
The 2005 Gambling Act – Blair-era legislation that currently governs the industry – dispelled the notion that gambling was a sordid habit practised behind beaded curtains, recasting it as a mainstream leisure activity.
Fifteen years on, after the iPhone put a casino in every pocket, calls for a rethink have mounted, borne on a tide of addiction horror stories and public distaste for gambling’s saturation of sport – football in particular.
The Betting and Gaming Council (BGC), the industry lobbying mouthpiece formed in 2018, has welcomed the moment of reckoning. According to one leading analyst, they’re not just making nice.
“The industry really means it because the wide-open uncertainty is really difficult to plan for,” said Alun Bowden, senior consultant at Eilers & Krejcik Gaming.
“There is a lot here that could have big impacts on revenues, share prices and jobs.”
The ban on sponsorship of football shirts is more eye-catching than a genuine threat to betting revenues, says Bowden.
Others measures could have far-reaching, even existential, consequences.
Web-based casino income has been rising consistently, up from £2.36bn in 2016 to £3.2bn in the year to March 2020. That is about 30% of the industry’s annual £10.8bn take (excluding the national lottery).
When an influential cross-party group of MPs called for a £2 limit on online casino stakes – to match curbs on fixed-odds betting terminals (FOBTs) – gambling shares plunged.
Any accompanying limits on how much gamblers can deposit or lose could also prove critical.
“It’s impossible to gauge the potential impact but it’s not improbable some operators could lose more than half their current gaming revenues if the limits are really harsh,” said Bowden.
Alongside the government review, the Gambling Commission has been examining affordability checks that could be drawn on when setting any deposit limits.
Another senior analyst, Dan Waugh of Regulus Partners, thinks such barriers could create enough friction in the betting process to crimp activity significantly.
“If it’s the case that consumers are required to produce bank statements or payslips in order to gamble above a certain amount, a significant number of people would not bother,” said Waugh.
Another potential hit could come from any move to dilute the potency of “in-play” betting.
Pioneered by Bet365, this allows punters to place swift, frequent bets on who will score the next goal or even win the next corner, while the game goes on. By 2015, it accounted for 80% of the company’s revenue.
With in-play at its heart, the soaraway UK football betting market has grown into a £1bn-a-year cash cow – nearly twice what the industry makes from horse racing.
In Spain, regulators have said that in-play bets can only be placed with funds that were already in the account when the game began, to prevent impulsive depositing.
Something similar, or tougher, could have major ramifications, according to Bowden.
“The concerns around in-play are reasonable, but you would hope the regulator will take the time to really understand the product and any risks to the customers before making changes,” he said.
UK gambling firms’ best weapon in the fight against tough regulation is to raise the spectre of a resulting rise in black market operators.
There is some irony in this given that many of those same firms operate in jurisdictions where gambling is not permitted, providing a market that is, if not black, charcoal grey.
But the risk of a UK black market is more than a paper tiger, according to some.
“Illegal offshore is a proper threat to bear in mind,” said one senior executive, who is otherwise broadly supportive of tougher regulation.
“You’ve got to be careful and reasonable in what you do. A £2 limit on table games [such as online roulette] would give you a problem with the black market.”
The underfunded and much-criticised regulator, the Gambling Commission, is likely to be given greater muscle to prevent this but it isn’t clear how effective it could be in practice.
With so much hanging in the balance, lobbying campaigns are ramping up. The industry, in particular, has some friends in high places.
BGC boss Michael Dugher is a pugnacious ex-Labour MP with a bulging phonebook of Westminster contacts.
His close friend, the former Labour deputy leader Tom Watson, was one of the most influential parliamentarians on gambling reform but took an advisory role with Paddy Power owner Flutter earlier this year, after resigning as an MP.
Meanwhile, the BGC recently started paying serving Tory MP Laurence Robertson ВЈ2,000 a month, ostensibly for advice on safer gambling. Colleague Philip Davies MP has pocketed ВЈ50,000 from Entain in advance of the review.
On the other side of the fence are campaign groups and MPs who favour tighter curbs on online gambling. The coalition of reformers continue to receive financial support from Derek Webb, the wealthy ex-professional poker player and casino game inventor.
His low-profile backing has sparked claims, as yet unsupported, of self-interested meddling by the casino industry.
Until a 16-week call for evidence ends in spring next year, the roulette wheel is still spinning and those seeking to influence the outcome can still lay their chips.
None of that mattered to Las Vegas casino operator MGM in its bid for Ladbrokes and Coral owner Entain, or to MGM’s Sin City rival Caesars Entertainment, which bought William Hill for £2.9bn last year.
They have their eyes on the ongoing spread of legal sports betting across the US. The Californian market alone, yet to open up, would probably be bigger than the UK.
MGM could well make another tilt at Entain, once a six-month cooling-off period is over.
For gambling firms and their investors the cavalry is on its way, whether they stay independent or succumb to a bid. The UK may be cracking down but America is opening up, presenting a new world of opportunity. The house always wins.


Ladbrokes Football Betting: Odds & Tips.
• by Football Whispers.
Get the most out of football betting at Ladbrokes with our tips.
Promotions and Bonuses for Football Betting at Ladbrokes.
Ladbrokes offers a nice welcome bonus for new players that you can use for betting on football but there are other interesting promotions available as well.
Ladbrokes Sign Up Offer for Sports Betting.
When you open a new account at Ladbrokes, you can claim ВЈ20 in free bets and use those free bets to bet on any sport, including football.
All that you have to do in order to claim this promo is to place a bet of at least ВЈ5 on any sport. Keep in mind that your qualifying bet has to be placed on odds of at least 1/2 (1.5). If your qualifying bet is an accumulator bet, all selections on the betslip must have odds of at least 1/2 (1.5).
After your qualifying bet settles, you will receive 4 free bets, each worth ВЈ5. You can place the free bets on any sport, except for tote or pools. When you receive your free bets, you have 7 days to use them.
Ladbrokes Insurance for Accumulator Bets.
Accumulator bets are often more popular than single bets, so if you like to bet on multiple games you should know that Ladbrokes offers insurance on your accu bets. This insurance can be claimed on one accu bet each day, as long as it has 5 or more selections. Also, each selection must have odds of at least 1/10 (1.1), while the accumulator as a whole should have combined odds of at least 3/1 (4.00).
This insurance will become active if one of your selection loses, in which case you will receive a free bet in the amount of your stake, up to ВЈ10.
Most Popular Football Events at Ladbrokes.
Ladbrokes offers a wide variety of football events you can bet on, including club football and international football.
English Premier League – One of the Best.
English Premier League is not only popular in the UK – it is one of the most-watched leagues across the world.
Ladbrokes provides a wide variety of betting markets for all Premier League games. Additionally, you can be on all Premier League games live.
FIFA World Cup – Bet On International Football.
Although the World Cup is only played every four years, it is one of the most popular football events globally.
Ladbrokes offers many betting options for the World Cup, including various specials. Also, World Cup Qualifications from each continent are covered extensively at Ladbrokes.
Virtual Football – As Good as the Real Thing.
Even though virtual football is a lot different than real football, it does have certain advantages.
First of all, games are played every 3 minutes and there are many different markets you can bet on, including final score, correct score, over/under, double chance, etc. Also, the odds for virtual football are better than odds for real-life football.
Live Betting and Live Streaming at Ladbrokes.
Ladbrokes has a very extensive live betting section where you can bet on many sports. However, the main star of live betting is football, with a great variety of markets you can bet on – although the number of markets is not as high as it is for pre-game betting.
The live betting section at Ladbrokes also includes live stats from all football matches, like shots on goal, corners, cards, etc.
You can also watch live streams of football games at Ladbrokes, as well as some other sports like tennis, basketball and horse racing. When it comes to football, there are dozens of European leagues that you can watch. Live streaming at Ladbrokes is free but you must have a funded account to access it.
Solid Odds for Football Games at Ladbrokes.
Ladbrokes is not the best bookie when it comes to football odds but it is among the top operators in this area as well. The betting margins for football at Ladbrokes are around 6%, which is a bit higher than the average of 4.5%.
We have tested this by choosing random football games from various leagues across Europe, including the English Premier League, Spanish La Liga and German Bundesliga, among others. The odds varied from 104% to 107%, with the average margin in our testing coming to about 6.2%.
Get Your Betting Tips at Ladbrokes to Boost Your Chances.
Some bookies provide their bettors with a blog where they analyze football games and present betting tips. Although Ladbrokes doesn’t have this per se, it does have something similar. It is called The Grid Card.
The Grid Card is an exclusive part of Ladbrokes, similar to a VIP or loyalty program. It is completely free and comes with many benefits.
When you join The Grid, you can take advantage of exclusive features but you can also get betting tips and read the latest sports news. In fact, you can use a unique app called Football Buddy if you need help to create your acca bet.
Ladbrokes Best Features and Other Benefits.
Ladbrokes is one of the most versatile betting operators in the world, so let’s take a look at some of their best features.
Cash Out Feature – Gain Control of Your Bets.
Ladbrokes provides you with the Cash Out feature, which allows you to get out of your bet before the match is over. This way, you can get out of a losing bet and save some of your money or you can minimize the risk of losing on a bet that is going well.
Betting Exchange – Try a Different Approach.
One thing that is unique to Ladbrokes and only a few other bookies is the betting exchange.
The betting exchange allows you to bet against other bettors and set your own odds, while Ladbrokes takes a percentage of each bet instead of earning their profits on betting margins.
Since you need someone to accept your bet, you may struggle to find markets for some less popular sports. However, it is smart to try out the exchange for football betting since you can get better odds compared to regular sportsbooks.
Bet Tracking – Stay Informed at All Times.
If you join The Grid at Ladbrokes, you will be able to track your bets directly on the website or at your phone. All you have to do is enter the 13/14 digit bet number located on your bet receipt and click “Track” to receive updates about your bet.
Football Betting at Ladbrokes – Fun and Pragmatic.
When you bet on football at Ladbrokes, you will be able to take advantage of many benefits, like various bonuses and promotions, solid odds, an extensive number of leagues and markets, live streaming, etc.
Overall, it is a satisfying experience and it shows why Ladbrokes is one of the best bookies in the UK after all these years in the business.




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п»їTop 5 Sports Betting System Reviews That Work.
One of the greatest quotes in world history is “Never change the winning formula“. As in life, the same statement can apply to the world of betting. There are multiple ways to win some serious money betting on various sports and there are also some strategies or betting systems that might help you do that. Here we will review the best sports betting systems out there which are the most trusted & accurate ones.
ZCode System Membership: VIP Club, Winning Picks & Predictions.
zcode system review.
The membership of VIP Club, Winning Picks & Predictions is costing $198 per month as long as you wish to be a member of the ZCode system. Now you can get a limited-time trial offer for $7 and thereafter a monthly payment of $49 by clicking the link below . Z Code system comes with a 60 days money-back guarantee. In any case, you are not 100% happy with the system you shall be refunded the subscription amount in full.
Sports Cash System – Sports Wagering System.
Sports cash system review that works.
Be sure if this system is right for you or not? This betting system that works for EVERYONE, no matter if you are a complete newbie or experienced sports bettor. Watch the free video preview here, it tells you exactly about Sports Cash System and why this system works so well:
As a new member, you can try the famous system for only $4.95 in your first week and then $149 per month . They teach you everything step-by-step and give you FULL member access to the system so you can start using the system using their expert handicappers picks and unique wagering system.
The Sports Picks Buffet System.
The “Sports Picks Buffet” is a sports handicapper network, where you will access to sports picks from hundreds of the best handicappers around the globe. Normally an expert handicapper charges up to thousands of dollars for the sports picks. But in this system, you will get hundreds of tips for a particular game through one single subscription. Now you need not have to rely on a single handicapper before placing a bet for a particular game. You will go through the picks from different handicappers and place the bet in favor of the team for whom most of the handicappers provide their positive signals. In this way, it will be easier for you to determine the best picks of the day & expand your chance of winning.
Now they are offering a five days trial for $7 & the $37 weekly thereafter . This is one of the best sports betting systems & you must take a test drive through their trial offer!
Whale Picks System: The Champs Betting Systems.
The promoter of The Whale Pick system is the famous gambler named as the “Whale” or “The Sports Betting Champ” who had ransacked the Sportsbooks by winning huge bets. By using his sports picks members have generated a million dollars of profit. By investing as per Whale Pick system’s number and pattern-recognition technique and following the system religiously one must generate huge profit.
Whale Picks system offers two bonus i.e. The Whale’s “Acceleration” Bankroll Management System and “The Whale’s Overtime Betting System” along with their subscription which very essential for sports bettor to succeed in betting. The Whale Picks cost higher i.e. $300 per month than the other two systems. But according to the sports picks provider the system has the potential to turn a thousand dollars into ten million dollars.
Exterminator Sports Betting System.
This is one of the best handicapping system developed by “The Champ” which have taken the industry into a storm. The famous handicapper mixed his passion for sports with mathematics to developing this amazing betting system. The system mainly provides sports betting picks for NBA, MLB, NFL games. The betting system costs $200 which will provide lifetime access to the system plus lifetime picks.
What is the Sports investing system?
Sports betting investment systems provide predictions and picks prior to the game outcomes being declared and enabling the bettors to place the bet. The betting system software release the sports picks by taking into consideration the past performance of the teams, individual players, etc.
Why is important to have a betting system?
What is very important to realize at the very beginning, the formula itself is never a guarantee of any positive final outcome? The formula can also sometimes fail, but after some period of time, it can still give you more positive than negative outcomes. By going through the advice and picks of the picks provider and following proper bankroll management the sports bettor will ultimately succeed in his betting business.
If there was a universal winning formula at our disposal, the bookies would not be working and would most likely change something about their approach.
How to choose the right betting system?
The truth is, not all sports prediction software suit the same number of people so a lot of this is your decision. Kelly criterion is very successful but requires big calculations and research to properly invest, while Martingale can get you broke very soon.
Go through our top sports betting system review & visit their individual websites to choose the best betting system out there. While all the betting systems work with different techniques & strategies, it is always advised to stick to a single betting system at a time. No sports handicapper in the world can guarantee 100 percent success in their predictions.
At first, you need to have thorough bankroll management which all the top betting systems will guide you through their training. It would be advised to fix your betting budget first and the amount per bet. Normally 1% of the betting budget is used per a single bet. Sports predictions are base on probability and need consistent wagering as per the advice of the winning betting system to succeed.
If you take sports betting as gambling you may likely fail in this business. Like any other business, you should learn the nitty-gritty of the game & prepare to take it as one investment option like share trading or Forex trading, etc.


Get Access To The Plays Of The Sharpest Betting Syndicate In The World.
Through connections made in the early days of the offshore betting industry we have direct access to this sharp action.
This site isn’t for most people. If you thrive on discovering the latest “game of the year”, prefer trusting your gut over sticking to a strategy, or believe in chasing returns by making it all back on one play, there are plenty of other sites you can turn to.
We pride ourselves on working with clients who have clear goals, realistic expectations, and a cool head. We work hard to protect our clients from making emotional decisions that can negatively impact their long-term success.
This is a marathon, not a sprint.
That might seem like a strange approach in an industry littered with sites that give out “Games of the Year” 20 times a season and promise completely unrealistic profit numbers. But no matter how good you are at self-promotion, eventually you have to produce. And if the first thing you do with a new client is to promise something you can’t deliver on, eventually you’ll be exposed as the fraud you are.
We’re interested in building long-term relationships with our clients. Would you believe a stock broker who told you he was going to beat the return of the S&P 500 every year by 10 points and that you’d never have a losing month? Of course not. So why believe a service that makes similar claims?
Billy Walters is widely regarded as the most successful sports bettor of the past 30 years. Well, this comes straight from the mouth of one of Walters’ former employees, “The average guy on the street might be disillusioned if he knew the actual winning percentage.”
Does it shock you to know that Walters has gone on record saying he had hoped to hit 55 percent of his bets over the course of an NFL season?
So if you hear someone or some service promising numbers much higher than that, then you know they’re making promises they can’t keep.
Our service is targeted towards sophisticated bettors who realize that losing is just as much a part of this game as winning is. And if you can’t deal with that reality then we’re probably not a good fit for each other. Please make sure you have the necessary bankroll, money management skills, and discipline to successfully utilize the service . Past results are no guarantee of future results.
“I’m Glad I Made The Purchase”
Your selections are great, really. I’m glad I made the purchase, doing really well since. Thank you again. – Derwin P.
“Best Service I Have Come Across..”
This has to be the best service I have come across in many years, so looking forward to following you throughout the year. – John A.


An Intro to Quantitative Modeling for Sports Bettors (in Excel)
Lloyd Danzig.
Jan 21, 2020 В· 20 min read.
The explosive rise and spread of legalized sports betting in the United States has prompted many to develop (or renew) an interest in a more quantitative, data-driven methodology for predicting the outcomes of sporting events.
Intro to Monte Carlo Simulations.
Historically, any sportsbook operators generating their own o dds (as opposed to just copying bet365 or Pinnacle markets) or posting live projected win probabilities (e.g. ESPN Gamecast) has done so using some form of stochastic simulation, most commonly a Monte Carlo simulation . This is a method for iteratively evaluating a deterministic model using sets of nondeterministic (i.e. random) numbers as inputs.
To make sure we all understand what this means in this particular context, suppose I asked what the probability was of rolling a 1 on a single throw of a six-sided die. You likely know that immediately to be 1/6 or approximately 16.7%. However, for the less quantitatively-oriented, we could:
Roll a six-sided die, perhaps 100,000 times Tally up all the results Convert those to frequencies And then say that, given our sufficient sample size, we are reasonably certain that the frequency with which each outcome occurred during our trial is indicative or predictive of the frequency with which it will occur in the future.
Of course, no one is going to sit around a roll a die 100,000 times, nor could they do so in an independent and identically distributed (iid) fashion. Fortunately, all of your favorite spreadsheet programs and programming languages allow for this to be done many many times, very very quickly. You can see the syntax for one iteration in Excel and Python underneath the graphic above, just for the sake of illustration.
An Example: Yankees vs. Red Sox (June 29, 2019)
How does this apply to sports? Believe it or not, most odds, win probabilities, and score projections are generated by simulating matchups between teams or players in this exact fashion. We can illustrate this using as an example the matchup between the New Yankees and Boston Red Sox that took place at London Stadium in the United Kingdom on June 29th, 2019. If you want to follow along or toy around yourself, you can download the macro-enabled Excel workbook here .
Congratulations, we have now “simulated” a matchup between the Yankees and Red Sox in which the Yankees won by a score of 10.147 to 7.945.
However, just as with our dice example, we want to run this simulation not once, but, perhaps 10,000 times:
Finally, we can calculate the frequency with which each time won in our simulated matchups and convert or compare those to odds for betting purposes.
If you’re noticing that the two probabilities add up to 100.1%, that is only because of rounding for the sake of this graphic.
Looking Under the Hood.
This tactic of first creating a mathematical representation of an event, and then iterating through it over and over is a standard part of any data scientist’s toolkit and is used to make predictions that you might interact with regularly. Weather forecasts and economic projections are two very common examples, but for some it is not entirely intuitive why the method is effective in the first place. If this does not describe you, feel free to scroll down to the section titled Home Field Advantage .
We recall from statistics that normally distributed data sets follow a bell curve, under which a specific proportion of values can be found within a given distance from the mean.
Using only the mean and standard deviation of any normal distribution, we can construct a chart like the above. In the context of the model we’ve built thus far, this chart can be read as the likelihood with which the Yankees (or a team statistically identical to the Yankees) would score any number of runs against the Red Sox (or a team statistically identical to the Red Sox). Since normal distributions are symmetric about the mean, we would say there is a:
You’ll notice that in the case of the Yankees at this point in 2019, moving two standard deviations to the left of the mean yields a prediction of a negative score (-0.860). We will come back to this momentarily.
When we were building our simulation, we used the inverse of the cumulative normal distribution function along with 3 parameters. The cumulative normal distribution function itself shows, for a given distribution and value of x , the probability of a randomly selected value being less than x . In other words, what percentage of the data falls to the left of x . One final way to internalize this that is relevant here is to imagine choosing a value x along the x- axis and then asking what the probability is that a randomly selected point under the curve will be to the left of that x value.
The inverse of this function does…the inverse. It allows us to input a distribution (parameterized by a mean and standard deviation) and a percentage or probability, and then produces as output the x value for which the supplied percentage of data falls to the left.
The percentage or probability that we are supplying, in this case in Excel, comes from a (pseudo) random number generator that outputs a value greater than or equal to 0 and less 1, notated mathematically as [0,1). When the simulation was run to construct these graphics, that random value produced by Excel for the Yankees was.
One interpretation of this is that, for a bell curve representing a distribution with a mean of 5.142 and standard deviation of 3.001, 95.234% of the values fall to the left of 10.147. Another way of saying this is that the Yankees (or a team statistically identical to the Yankees) will score 10.147 or fewer runs against the Red Sox (or a team statistically identical to the Red Sox) in 95.234% of matchups.
As long as the assumption of a normal distribution holds, iteratively using random values between 0 and 1 to generate simulated scores for each team will give us a good approximation of how the game we parameterized is likely to play out (hopefully). For other sports and events, a normal distribution may not be ideal. For very low-scoring sports like soccer, it may make more sense to use a Poisson distribution or a negative binomial distribution to model the game, rather than a normal distribution.
In this particular case, as was briefly referenced earlier, it is possible to obtain a negative number of runs scored. For the purposes of the model we are building, we will employ logic that converts any negative scores to a score of 0.000. This is a place where we see the art of modeling truly fusing with the science. Perhaps a simulated score of Yankees: -4, Red Sox: -3 is just as informative as a simulated score of Yankees: 5, Red Sox: 6 . Or, perhaps one wants to completely remove the entire simulated matchup in the case that either team produces a result that would be impossible in the real world. Stepping back for just a moment, we see this is not the only aspect of our model that leaves room for creativity and also for error. We did not take into account injuries, momentum, weather, stadium dimensions, starting pitchers, and a host of other important data points that may impact our predictions.
Often, one of the best ways to learn to build models is to start with the minimum viable product and then incrementally add to and scale it. In this case, we will first look at incorporating home field advantage as a feature of our model.
Home Field Advantage.
During the 2018 MLB regular season the home team won 1,277 games (52.6%), while the away team won 1,149 games (47.4%). Thus, someone building a model amidst the 2019 season may ascribe a 2.6% incremental win probability to a team playing at home, all else being held equal.
This is not a home game for the Red Sox, as it was played in London at a neutral site, but suppose it was. One option would have been to only use Runs Scored and Runs Against data from Red Sox home games and Yankees away games in the first place, so that no further modifications need to be made. In some cases, this would be a viable approach, though we may hesitate to think this is one of them, especially because of the limiting factor it has on an already-small sample size.
Suppose our research revealed that, all else equal, home field advantage can be expected to add 0.32 expected runs to a team’s output, after adjusting for the quality of the opponent’s defense. It is particularly easy to incorporate this into our model by simply adding 0.32 to the Adj. Runs Scored for the team with home field advantage.
This occurs before the value is passed as a parameter to the inverse of the cumulative normal distribution function, ( NORM.INV , in Excel parlance), so no further adjustments are needed. The same can be said for any factor that adds or subtracts a specified absolute contribution to or from the expected output. For example, if a particular team scores 0.73 fewer runs in games immediately following a cross-country flight, and the game we are trying to model fits that criteria, it would be very easy to incorporate into the simulation.
In our case, neither team had home field advantage, so we will not use such a factor, but it is still an option that can be toggled into our Excel model.
An Ensemble Approach to Modeling.
Not only can we adjust our model for factors like home field advantage, but we can also layer on other methodologies in order to take more of an ensemble approach to modeling, whereby multiple different models and/or datasets are used to predict the same outcome.
For example, Bill James and SABR have published a formula for calculating probabilities of victory in head-to-head MLB matchups, based solely on winning percentages. The derivation is clever and worth reading, and yields the following:


An Analytics Platform That Has Mastered Sports Predictions.
This story appears in the June 2013 issue of . Subscribe В»
The age-old rivalry between jocks and geeks is finally dead--and Nik Bonaddio is the killer. Bonaddio is founder and CEO of numberFire, an analytics platform that takes sports data to new brainy levels. Combining mathematically derived metrics with advanced algorithms that factor in situational variables, numberFire turns the "unstructured and misleading data" around sports into highly accurate stats and predictions for NFL, MLB and NBA players and teams.
What this means: Your betting odds just got better, and your fantasy-sports team just dominated. In fact, the New York City-based company's official 2012 March Madness bracket correctly picked the winner (Kentucky) and finished in the top 1 percent of brackets nationwide. NumberFire claims that its data gives users a 31 percent higher chance of winning their fantasy leagues and beats the projections provided by leagues 93 percent of the time. The company has about 40,000 users.
"Fantasy sports is a really big market that's been underserved for a long time," Bonaddio says. "We're scratching the itch a lot of people have."
A two-time All-American in track and field, Bonaddio got his head in the sports-data game after joining a fraternity at Carnegie Mellon, where he studied information systems and communication design. "I realized the advice you get around fantasy football and sports in general is very qualitative. It's all, 'I think this team is going to do well,' and this never made sense to me, because sports is all about numbers--the box score, the touchdown, the yards--but no one was doing any data modeling or data analysis," he says. "I analogized it at the time to finance: When you make a trade, all the big banks are using these complex models and quantitative trading algorithms, and I didn't understand what was so different about sports."
Bonaddio seems to have a knack for winning. After walking away with $100,000 from Who Wants to Be a Millionaire? in 2009, he quit his job and parlayed the cash into building data models. He launched numberFire in 2010, focusing on football insights; the site quickly secured fans by outpredicting the experts at ESPN and Yahoo 70 percent of the time by the end of the season. Bonaddio drafted Keith Goldner, an analyst for ESPN and two NFL franchises, to refine the predictive models, and last year expanded numberFire to include baseball and basketball. The startup, which continues to consistently beat the projections of CBS, NFL and Yahoo, has scored $775,000 in funding from investors including RRE Ventures and TechStars' David Tisch. Revenue--which grew from $10,000 in 2011 to $250,000 last year--is derived mainly from premium subscriptions (basic analytics are free) and partnerships with major media companies, which leverage numberFire's data on their own sites.
Turns out there really is a formula for success.




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Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic: College Basketball Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – February 7, 2021.
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are favorites as they try to extend a four-game win streak when they visit the Florida Atlantic Owls on Sunday, February 7 at FAU Arena. The matchup begins at 12:00 PM ET. The over/under for the matchup is set at .
The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 5, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Betting Odds.
Western Kentucky Betting Information.
Western Kentucky has managed to cover the spread in less than half its games this season, amassing a record of 7-10 against the spread. When favored by at least 7 points, the Hilltoppers are 2-4 against the spread in 2020-21. In 41.2% of its games this season (7/17), Western Kentucky and its opponents have outscored the set over/under.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Western Kentucky Players to Watch.
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM Charles Bassey 16 17.8 12.2 0.8 0.3 3.4 0.6 Taveion Hollingsworth 17 13.6 3.5 2.1 1.2 0.1 0.6 Josh Anderson 17 10.4 3.9 0.9 1.9 0.5 0.5 Jordan Rawls 17 7.6 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.6 Luke Frampton 17 7.2 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.0.
Florida Atlantic Betting Information.
With a 5-6 record ATS, Florida Atlantic has not routinely covered the spread this season. The Owls only hold a 0-1 record against the spread this season when they enter a game as at least a 7-point underdog. Seven of Florida Atlantic’s 11 games (63.6%) this season have been over the over/under. The Owls fell to Charlotte 74-71 and didn’t cover the spread as 1-point favorites, while going over the 125 point total on Saturday in their most recent game. Karlis Silins put up a team-high 17 points in the loss.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.


NASCAR Odds 2021.
NASCAR odds are updated regularly at CanadaSportsBetting. Have a look at the currently available odds below.
2021 NASCAR Cup Championship Winners Odds.
The 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship Winners aren't currently released. However, the odds for the Daytona 500 have been released and subject to change . The odds were last updated on February 1, 2021:
Free NASCAR Picks 2021.
It's a long season, and anything can happen, but here are the best free NASCAR picks of the drivers most likely to emerge as the 2021 Champion!
The 2012 champion has had a rough time getting back to the top . Between crashes, injuries, and all sorts of controversy, Keselowski remains at least a top-10 contender. He's gone up the standings thanks to a strong showing so far where he has compiled some wins and top-five finishes.
Logano is behind just Busch in points and is constantly finishing in the top five. History may be against him repeating, but he should be the second-favourite behind Busch, and at this price, you can go with worse choices.
Truex broke out in a big way in 2017, where he became both the Cup Series champion and regular-season champion along with capturing the 2018 ESPY Award for Best Driver. He's still worth backing as he is now part of the top Joe Gibbs Racing team.
Busch remains the favourite to win the title, and it's tough to bet against one of the most consistent drivers of his generation. Busch is the current defending champion, as well as the winner of the 2015 Cup and finished third in 2016 and a runner-up in 2017. He also finished fourth in 2018. Regardless of where he finishes, you can bank he will be among the contenders as the season draws to a close.
Brad Keselowski (13.00)
The 2012 champion has had a rough time getting back to the top . Between crashes, injuries, and all sorts of controversy, Keselowski remains at least a top-10 contender. He's gone up the standings thanks to a strong showing so far where he has compiled some wins and top-five finishes.
Joey Logano (10.00)
Logano is behind just Busch in points and is constantly finishing in the top five. History may be against him repeating, but he should be the second-favourite behind Busch, and at this price, you can go with worse choices.
Martin Truex Jr. (6.00)
Truex broke out in a big way in 2017, where he became both the Cup Series champion and regular-season champion along with capturing the 2018 ESPY Award for Best Driver. He's still worth backing as he is now part of the top Joe Gibbs Racing team.
Best Sportsbooks for Nascar.
If you've got a solid hunch on someone, not on this list, head over to one of these sportsbooks . You get a free signup bonus along with excellent customer service. Playing is quick and easy. We recommend checking our reviews and then depositing at a few books to help when shopping for the best prices.
NASCAR 2021 Schedule.
2021 NASCAR will get underway in February . We compiled the schedule for the 2020 NASCAR Championship below, take a look.
NASCAR Playoff Series Schedule 2021 Dates Daytona 500 February 14 Dixie Vodka 400 February 28 Pennzoil 400 March 7 Cup Series Phoenix March 14 QuikTrip 500 March 21 Food City Dirt Race March 28 Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 April 10 Toyota Owners 400 May 16 Geico 500 May 24 Cup Series Kansas May 2 Cup Series Darlington May 9 Drydene 400 May 16 Cup Series COTA May 23 Coca-Cola 600 May 30 Toyota Save Mart 350 June 6 All-Star Open June 13 All-Star Race June 13 Ally 400 June 20 Cup Series Pocono-1 June 26 Cup Series Pocono-2 June 27 Cup Series Road America July 4 Quaker State 400 July 11 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 July 18 Go Bowling At The Glen August 8 Big Machine Vodka 400 August 15 FireKeepers Casino 400 August 22 Coke Zero Sugar 400 August 28 Cook Out Southern 500 September 5 Federated Auto Parts 400 September 11 Bass Pro Shops Night Race September 18 Playoffs Round of 12 South Point 400 September 26 YellaWood 500 October 3 Bank of America Roval 400 October 10 Playoff Round of 8 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 October 18 Hollywood Casino 400 October 24 Xfinity 500 October 31 Playoff Round of 4 Nascar Cup Championship Series November 7.
Once the regular season circuit ends - Bet on fantastic playoff race action!
Nascar Daytona Odds.
Teams and Drivers 2021.
2021 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series features 15 Teams and 32 Drivers racing in cars from Ford, Chevrolet and Toyota. Joey Logano, one of three pilots on Team Penske, enters the series as the defending NASCAR Champion:
Car Number & Drivers 2020 Team 1 - Kurt Busch Chip Ganassi Racing 2 - Brad Keselowski Team Penske 3 - Austin Dillon Richard Childress Racing 4 - Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing 5 - Kyle Larson Hendrick Motorsports 6 - Ryan Newman Roush Fenway Racing 7 - Cory LaJoie Spire Motorsports 8 - Tyler Reddick Richard Childress Racing 9 - Chase Elliott Hendrick Motorsports 10 - Aric Almirola Stewart-Haas Racing 11 - Denny Hamlin Joe Gibbs Racing 12 - Ryan Blaney Team Pensky 13 - Ty Dillon Germain Racing 14 - Chase Briscoe Stewart-Haas Racing 17 - Chris Buescher Roush Fenway Racing 18 - Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing 19 - Martin Truex Jr. Joe Gibbs Racing 20 - Christopher Bell Joe Gibbs Racing 21 - Matt DiBenedetto Wood Brothers Racing 22 - Joey Logano Team Penske 23 - Bubba Wallace 23XI Racing 24 - William Byron Hendrick Motorsports 34 - Michael McDowell Front Row Motorsports 37 - Ryan Preece JTG Daugherty Racing 38 - Anthony Alfredo Front Row Motorsports 41 - Cole Custer Stewart-Hass Racing 42 - Ross Chastain Chip Ganassi Racing 43 - Erik Jones Richard Petty Motorsports 47 - Ricky Steinhouse Jr. JTG Daugherty Racing 48 - Alex Bowman Hendrick Motorsports 51 - Cody Ware Rick Ware Racing 52 - Josh Bilicki Rick Ware Racing 78 - B.J. McLeod Live Fast Motorsports 99 - Daniel Suarez Trackhouse Racing Team.
How to Read NASCAR Odds for Each Race.
While each NASCAR Grand Prix is different, the NASCAR Vegas odds don't change too often . We will see different odds, but the formats stay the same, like any other motorsports odds. This is how to read Nascar odds:
Nascar Moneyline Odds.
The moneyline is when you bet who wins, straight-up . The odds are translated from each driver's probability of winning. They usually manifest in three different formats:
American:
In the case of a minus number, it shows how much you bet to win $100 while a plus number shows how much you win when you bet $100.
This is the popular format in Canada and unlike moneyline odds, these odds are more straightforward and it is easier to calculate the return on a bet.
To calculate your potential winnings, use this formula:
\n \n (Wager x Odds) - Wager \n e.g. If the driver is 2.25 to win and you bet $150.00 \n (150 x 2.25) = 337.50 - 150.00 = $187.50 (your potential winnings minus wager) \n \n.
Decimal odds account for your total winnings including your wager (which is returned after each successful bet).
To calculate your potential winnings, use this formula:
Plus numbers:
Decimal Odds (European):
Fractional Odds (British):
Wager / Odds x 100 e.g. -300 favourite to win and you bet $500.00 500 / 300 x 100 = $166.67 (your potential winnings)
This is the popular format in Canada and unlike moneyline odds, these odds are more straightforward and it is easier to calculate the return on a bet.
To calculate your potential winnings, use this formula:
(Wager x Odds) - Wager e.g. If the driver is 2.25 to win and you bet $150.00 (150 x 2.25) = 337.50 - 150.00 = $187.50 (your potential winnings minus wager)
Decimal odds account for your total winnings including your wager (which is returned after each successful bet).
NASCAR 2020 results.
Darlington 400.
We were in South Carolina for the latest installment of NASCAR, and the first one to occur after the lockdown. The race was exhilarating from start to finish, but it was the Championship favourite Kevin Harvick who raised the checkered flag .
Daytona 500.
The Daytona 500 was won by Denny Hamlin in the second-closest margin in Daytona history, just edging out Blaney. The win marked the first consecutive winner in the history of this track since Sterling Marlin in the 1994/95 season.
Pennzoil 400.
The last NASCAR event was The Pennzoil 400 , which took place on Sunday, February 23, at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The race was won by Joey Logano .
Daytona 500.
Daytona Busch Clash.
All-Time NASCAR Cup Series Champions.
All-Time NASCAR Champions In 70 years, NASCAR has featured countless races and hundreds of champions . But of all competitions, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) better known as the "Cup Series" is the most prestigious.
Missed, and still held in high esteem, late-great Dale Earnhardt, (pictured) was one of the most successful drivers in NASCAR history. The "Intimidator" piled up 76 Cup Series wins - plus seven overall Championships during his career.
Chase Elliot won the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series.




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<a+href%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fcutt.ly%2FtgUsZ9U><img+src%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2F51hhpry%2FFIXED.gif%22><%2Fa>+%0D%0A+%0D%0A<a+href%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fbit.ly%2F3dWKdMz><img+src%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2FsJYkHnZ%2Fjoin.gif%22><%2Fa>+%0D%0A+%0D%0A+%0D%0A%D0%BF%C2%BB%D1%97NFL+odds%2C+lines%2C+picks%2C+predictions+for+Week+5%2C+2020%3A+Proven+model+backing+Steelers%2C+Rams.%0D%0ASportsLine%27s+computer+model+simulated+every+Week+5+NFL+game+10%2C000+times+with+surprising+results.%0D%0AThe+latest+Week+5+NFL+odds+from+William+Hill+show+several+potentially+tight+matchups+as+teams+begin+to+show+whether+they%27re+contenders+or+pretenders.+The+Browns+are+off+to+a+surprising+3-1+start%2C+but+they%27re+only+one-point+favorites+in+the+latest+NFL+Vegas+lines+at+home+against+the+Colts.+The+Falcons+are+trying+to+overcome+a+slow+start+to+the+season%2C+and+they%27re+going+off+as+2.5-point+favorites+over+the+Carolina+Panthers%2C+one+of+the+slimmest+NFL+betting+lines+of+the+week.%0D%0AWhich+NFL+point+spreads+should+you+target+on+the+Week+5+NFL+schedule%3F+And+is+the+value+in+larger+NFL+spreads+like+Bengals+at+Ravens+%28-11.5%29%3F+All+of+the+Week+5+NFL+lines+are+listed+below%2C+and+SportsLine%27s+advanced+computer+model+has+all+the+NFL+betting+advice+and+predictions+you+need+to+make+the+best+Week+5+NFL+picks+now.%0D%0AThe+SportsLine+Projection+Model+simulates+every+NFL+game+10%2C000+times+and+is+up+over+%247%2C300+for+%24100+players+on+its+top-rated+NFL+picks+since+its+inception+five-plus+years+ago.%0D%0AIt%27s+off+to+a+strong+7-4+roll+on+top-rated+NFL+picks+this+season.+The+model+enters+Week+5+on+an+incredible+103-69+roll+on+top-rated+NFL+picks+that+dates+back+to+the+2017+season.+The+model+also+ranked+in+the+Top+10+on+NFLPickWatch+in+three+of+the+past+four+years+on+straight-up+NFL+picks+and+beat+more+than+95+percent+of+CBS+Sports+office+pool+players+three+times+during+that+span.+Anyone+who+has+followed+it+is+way+up.%0D%0ANow%2C+it+has+examined+the+latest+Week+5+NFL+odds+and+NFL+betting+lines%2C+simulated+every+snap%2C+and+its+predictions+are+in.+Head+to+SportsLine+now+to+see+them+all.%0D%0ATop+NFL+predictions+for+Week+5.%0D%0AOne+of+the+top+Week+5+NFL+predictions+the+model+recommends%3A+The+Steelers+%28-7+at+William+Hill%29+cover+the+spread+at+home+against+the+Eagles.+Pittsburgh+got+an+unexpected+bye+in+Week+4+when+its+game+against+the+Titans+was+postponed+due+to+positive+COVID-19+tests+for+Tennessee.+Philadelphia%2C+meanwhile%2C+limps+into+this+game+with+a+lengthy+injury+list+and+just+one+win+in+2020.%0D%0AThe+Eagles+are+just+1-3+against+the+spread+thus+far+in+2020%2C+while+Pittsburgh+has+covered+twice+in+three+games.+The+Steelers+piled+up+169+yards+on+the+ground+in+Week+6+against+the+Texans%2C+and+that+success+bodes+well+for+their+chances+in+this+matchup+since+Pittsburgh+is+13-3-1+against+the+number+in+its+last+17+games+after+it+had+150-plus+rushing+yards+in+the+prior+matchup.+The+model+is+calling+for+the+Steelers+to+win+by+double-digits+as+they+cover+in+almost+60+percent+of+simulations.%0D%0AAnother+one+of+the+top+Week+5+NFL+picks+from+the+model%3A+The+Rams+%28-7.5%29+cover+as+road+favorites+against+Washington.+Head+coach+Ron+Rivera+announced+that+Washington+will+bench+Dwayne+Haskins+Jr.+and+start+Kyle+Allen+against+the+Rams.+Haskins+threw+for+a+season-high+314+yards+last+week+against+the+Ravens%2C+but+that+wasn%27t+enough+to+keep+his+starting+job.%0D%0AThe+Rams%2C+meanwhile%2C+struggled+to+find+consistency+on+offense+in+their+17-9+victory+over+the+winless+New+York+Giants+last+week%2C+gaining+just+240+total+yards+on+offense.+Despite+their+subdued+performance+against+New+York+last+week%2C+Sean+McVay%27s+team+will+enter+Sunday%27s+contest+full+of+confidence.+That%27s+because+the+Rams+are+averaging+397.3+yards+on+offense%2C+which+ranks+seventh+in+the+NFL.+Washington%27s+defense%2C+meanwhile%2C+is+giving+up+28.0+points+per+game%2C+which+ranks+in+the+bottom+half+of+the+league.%0D%0ASportsLine%27s+model+projects+Jared+Goff+will+throw+for+275+yards%2C+while+Robert+Woods+and+Cooper+Kupp+combine+for+almost+150+receiving+yards+against+Washington%2C+resulting+in+Los+Angeles+covering+the+spread+in+well+over+50+percent+of+simulations.%0D%0AHow+to+make+Week+5+NFL+picks.%0D%0AThe+model+also+has+made+the+call+on+every+other+game+on+the+Week+5+NFL+schedule.+It%27s+also+identified+a+Super+Bowl+contender+that+goes+down+hard.+You+can+only+get+every+pick+for+every+game+here.%0D%0AWhat+NFL+picks+can+you+make+with+confidence+in+Week+5%3F+And+which+Super+Bowl+contender+goes+down+hard%3F+Check+out+the+latest+NFL+odds+from+William+Hill+below+and+then+visit+SportsLine+to+see+which+NFL+teams+are+winning+more+than+50+percent+of+simulations%2C+all+from+the+model+that+is+up+over+%247%2C300+on+its+top-rated+NFL+picks.%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0ANFL+Week+5+lines%2C+picks%3A+Lookahead+spread+for+Buccaneers-Bears+and+other+lines+with+great+value.%0D%0ALooking+ahead+at+some+of+the+most+intriguing+Week+5+bets.%0D%0AOne+of+the+largest+spreads+heading+into+Week+4+is+the+Los+Angeles+Rams+being+13-point+favorites+over+the+New+York+Giants.+Daniel+Jones+and+Co.+just+lost+by+27+points+to+the+San+Francisco+49ers%27+backups%2C+and+appear+to+be+an+absolute+mess+right+now.+While+it%27s+not+debated+who+will+win+this+matchup+on+Sunday%2C+the+spread+is+a+different+question.+Covering+13+points+isn%27t+easy%2C+but+wouldn%27t+you+rather+have+placed+money+on+it+when+it+was+LAR+-9.5%3F+That%27s+why+you+pay+attention+to+the+lookahead+lines.%0D%0AEvery+Friday%2C+we+take+a+look+at+the+NFL+lines+a+week+and+a+half+in+advance+to+determine+if+we+should+put+money+down+now+in+order+to+get+the+best+bang+for+our+buck.+Depending+on+what+happens+in+Week+4%2C+all+of+these+lines+could+change+before+we+reach+Week+5%2C+so+we+want+to+go+ahead+and+get+our+bets+in+if+we+see+a+nice+opportunity+for+an+upset+or+to+jump+on+a+favorite+before+the+line+moves+even+more+in+their+favor.%0D%0ABefore+we+jump+in+to+some+early+bets+to+consider%2C+here+are+the+lookahead+lines+for+Week+5.+All+odds+come+courtesy+of+William+Hill+Sportsbook.%0D%0AWhich+teams+will+cover+the+spread+in+Week+4%3F+Pete+Prisco%2C+R.J.+White+and+SportsLine%27s+Kenny+White+join+host+Will+Brinson+to+break+down+their+best+bets+and+size+up+every+game%3B+listen+below+and+be+sure+to+subscribe+for+daily+NFL+goodness+fired+into+your+eardrums.%0D%0AWeek+5+lookahead+lines.%0D%0APicks+to+consider.%0D%0ABuccaneers+-3+at+Bears.%0D%0AFull+disclosure%2C+I+actually+picked+the+Bears+to+upset+the+Colts+this+week.+Even+if+they+do%2C+this+line+could+move+more+in+favor+of+the+Buccaneers.+Tom+Brady+and+the+Bucs+are+favored+by+a+touchdown+over+the+Chargers%2C+and+touchdown+favorites+are+11-3+against+the+spread+%2879%25%29+this+season%2C+which+is+the+best+mark+through+Week+3+since+1990.+The+Chargers+are+one+of+just+three+teams+yet+to+go+over+their+total%2C+and+they+just+lost+cornerback+Chris+Harris+to+injured+reserve.+He+joins+the+likes+of+Melvin+Ingram%2C+Derwin+James%2C+Justin+Jones+and+Mike+Pouncey%2C+so+yes%2C+this+Chargers+team+is+pretty+beat+up.+I+believe+this+line+will+grow+by+next+week%2C+so+I%27ll+jump+on+the+Buccaneers+right+now.%0D%0AGiants+at+Cowboys+-11.5.%0D%0AThis+is+a+big+spread%2C+but+I+still+might+jump+on+it+right+now.+The+Cowboys+take+on+the+Browns+this+week%2C+who+are+above+.500+for+the+first+time+since+2014+with+a+2-1+record.+This+doesn%27t+really+feel+like+an+accomplishment%2C+however%2C+as+they+defeated+the+Bengals+and+Washington+over+the+past+two+weeks.+While+the+Cowboys+are+1-2%2C+they+have+the+most+explosive+offense+in+the+league+is+going+up+against+a+sub-par+secondary+this+week.+Cleveland+is+on+a+seven-game+road+losing+streak+against+the+spread%2C+which+is+tied+for+the+third-longest+streak+over+the+last+10+seasons.+The+Browns+have+lost+each+game+during+this+streak+by+five-plus+points%2C+so+I%27m+rolling+with+Dallas+to+cover+on+Sunday.%0D%0ASo+why+should+you+jump+on+the+Week+5+Cowboys+line+right+now%3F+We+already+mentioned+in+the+intro+that+there%27s+a+chance+the+Giants+don%27t+cover+against+the+Rams+on+Sunday.+Additionally%2C+the+Cowboys+have+beaten+the+Giants+by+at+least+18+points+in+their+last+two+matchups%2C+and+Mike+McCarthy+understands+that+every+divisional+win+could+matter+in+the+NFC+East.%0D%0ACardinals+%28-8%29+at+Jets.%0D%0AThis+spread+is+now+off+the+board+since+the+Jets+played+the+Broncos+on+%22Thursday+Night+Football%2C%22+but+it%27s+going+to+reopen+even+more+in+favor+of+the+Cardinals.+Sam+Darnold+was+virtually+out-dueled+by+a+quarterback+making+his+first+NFL+start%2C+as+the+Jets+were+beaten+by+a+team+that+has+been+ravaged+by+injuries%2C+37-28.+The+Jets+have+lost+every+game+this+season+by+at+least+nine+points%2C+so+consider+taking+the+Cardinals+whenever+this+line+reopens.%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0ANFL+odds%2C+picks%2C+predictions+for+Week+5%3A+Proven+computer+model+loving+Giants%2C+Chargers.%0D%0ASportsLine%27s+computer+model+simulated+every+Week+5+NFL+game+10%2C000+times+with+surprising+results.%0D%0AWhen+starting+quarterback+Mitchell+Trubisky+went+down+with+a+left+shoulder+injury+on+the+first+drive+of+last+week%27s+NFC+North+matchup+with+the+Minnesota+Vikings%2C+it+appeared+as+if+the+Chicago+Bears+might+be+in+trouble.+However%2C+backup+Chase+Daniel+held+down+the+fort+with+Trubisky+on+the+sideline+and+the+Bears%27+defense+dominated+on+the+way+to+a+16-6+win.+This+week%2C+the+team+travels+to+London+to+take+on+the+Oakland+Raiders+at+1+p.m.+ET+and+will+be+without+Trubisky+once+again.+However%2C+Chicago+is+still+listed+as+a+5.5-point+favorite+in+the+latest+Week+5+NFL+odds%2C+with+the+total+at+40.5+for+NFL+London+2019.+Meanwhile%2C+the+Giants+have+ruled+out+running+back+Saquon+Barkley+at+home+against+Minnesota%2C+but+are+still+5.5-point+underdogs.+And+in+an+AFC+North+rumble%2C+the+Steelers+are+3.5-point+underdogs+at+home+against+the+Ravens%2C+one+of+the+tightest+NFL+lines+of+the+week.+NFL+odds+will+continue+to+shift+as+kickoffs+approach+and+NFL+weather+becomes+clearer.+Before+you+make+any+NFL+predictions%2C+be+sure+to+see+the+Week+5+NFL+picks+from+the+proven+computer+model+at+SportsLine.%0D%0AThe+model+also+ranked+in+the+Top+10+on+NFLPickWatch+for+the+third+year+in+a+row+on+straight-up+NFL+picks+and+beat+more+than+96+percent+of+CBS+Sports+office+pool+players.+Anyone+who+has+followed+it+is+way+up.%0D%0ARookie+quarterback+Daniel+Jones+is+2-0+straight-up+and+against+the+spread+as+the+Giants%27+starter.+Those+wins+came+against+the+Buccaneers+and+Redskins%2C+however%2C+two+of+the+league%27s+lower-ranked+passing+defenses.+He%27ll+be+tested+against+the+Vikings%2C+the+league%27s+No.+5+overall+scoring+defense.+The+model+says+that+Jones+piles+up+around+250+yards+through+the+air+as+the+Giants+cover+in+over+50+percent+of+simulations.+There%27s+also+plenty+of+value+on+the+under+%2843.5%29+because+that+hits+almost+70+percent+of+the+time.%0D%0AAnother+one+of+the+Week+5+NFL+picks+from+the+model%3A+the+Chargers+cover+as+6.5-point+home+favorites+against+the+Broncos+on+Sunday.%0D%0AKickoff+is+scheduled+for+4%3A05+p.m.+ET%2C+and+Pro+Bowl+running+back+Melvin+Gordon+could+see+his+first+action+after+ending+his+holdout+and+then+sitting+on+the+bench+last+week+as+an+emergency+option+with+Justin+Jackson+injured.+That+gives+the+Chargers+serious+firepower+out+of+the+backfield%2C+with+Gordon+scoring+38+total+touchdowns+the+last+three+seasons+and+Ekeler+scoring+six+times+in+the+first+four+games.%0D%0ALos+Angeles%27+offense+won%27t+have+to+deal+with+defensive+end+Bradley+Chubb+off+the+edge+this+weekend+either%2C+as+he+was+placed+on+injured+reserve+after+suffering+a+torn+ACL+last+week+against+the+Jaguars.+That%27s+a+big+reason+why+the+model+has+the+Chargers+covering+the+6.5-point+spread+in+nearly+60+percent+of+its+simulations.+The+Under+%2844.5%29+also+hits+in+well+over+half+of+the+model%27s+NFL+projections.%0D%0AThe+model+also+has+a+strong+pick+for+the+battle+between+the+Cowboys+and+Packers%2C+and+is+calling+for+a+Super+Bowl+contender+to+go+down+hard+this+week.+You+can+only+get+every+pick+for+every+game+at+SportsLine.%0D%0AWhat+NFL+picks+can+you+make+with+confidence+in+Week+5%3F+And+which+Super+Bowl+contender+goes+down+hard%3F+Check+out+the+latest+NFL+odds+below+and+then+visit+SportsLine+to+see+which+NFL+teams+are+winning+more+than+50+percent+of+simulations%2C+all+from+the+model+that+is+up+over+%247%2C000+on+its+top-rated+NFL+picks.%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0ANFL+picks%2C+predictions+for+Week+5%3A+Seahawks+stop+Vikings%3B+Bills%2C+Browns+stay+hot.%0D%0AWeek+5+of+the+NFL+season+is+all+about+not+looking+ahead.%0D%0AThe+Bills+meet+the+Titans+in+a+battle+of+unbeaten+teams%2C+and+Buffalo+has+a+chance+to+improve+to+5-0+before+a+%22Thursday+Night+Football%22+game+against+the+Chiefs.+Don%27t+look+ahead+.%0D%0AThe+Steelers+are+back+in+action+against+the+Eagles%2C+and+they+can+improve+to+4-0+before+a+matchup+against+the+Browns+in+Week+6.+Don%27t+look+ahead+.%0D%0AThe+Seahawks+can+become+the+only+5-0+team+in+the+NFC+against+the+Vikings+on+%22Sunday+Night+Football%22+before+a+two-game+stretch+against+division+opponents+in+the+Cardinals+and+49ers.+Don%27t+look+ahead+.%0D%0AWe%27re+looking+forward+to+Week+5%2C+which+starts+with+Tom+Brady+on+%22Thursday+Night+Football%22+at+Soldier+Field.%0D%0AWith+that+as+the+mind%2C+below+are+our+picks+and+predictions+for+Week+5+of+the+NFL+season.+As+always%2C+our+point+spreads+are+courtesy+of+Sports+Insider.%0D%0ANFL+predictions+for+Week+5.%0D%0ATampa+Bay+Buccaneers+%28-5.5%29+at+Chicago+Bears.%0D%0AThursday%2C+8%3A20+p.m.+ET%2C+NFL+Network%2C+Fox.%0D%0AWe+get+a+much+better+%22Thursday+Night+Football%22+matchup+in+Week+5.+Tom+Brady+has+eight+TDs+and+two+interceptions+the+last+two+weeks%2C+and+he%27ll+face+a+challenge+against+a+Bears+defense+that+has+limited+quarterbacks+to+a+74.4+quarterback+rating+so+far.+Does+Chicago+have+enough+offense+in+this+one%3F%0D%0APick%3A+Buccaneers+24%2C+Bears+23.%0D%0ACarolina+Panthers+at+Atlanta+Falcons+%28-3.5%29%0D%0ASunday%2C+1+p.m.+ET%2C+CBS.%0D%0AThe+Panthers+are+on+a+two-game+winning+streak%2C+and+they+have+a+chance+to+break+a+five-game+losing+streak+to+the+Falcons.+Carolina+has+not+won+at+Atlanta+since+2015.+The+fourth+quarter+should+be+high+entertainment%2C+but+streaks+are+meant+to+be+broken.%0D%0APick%3A+Panthers+30%2C+Falcons+27.%0D%0ALas+Vegas+Raiders+at+Kansas+City+Chiefs+%28-11.5%29%0D%0ASunday%2C+1+p.m.+ET%2C+CBS.%0D%0AThe+Raiders+have+a+high-scoring+offense%2C+too%2C+but+the+Chiefs+won+last+year%27s+matchup+at+Arrowhead+Stadium+40-9.+Kansas+City+presents+too+many+problems+for+a+Las+Vegas+defense+that+has+just+four+sacks+in+four+games.%0D%0APick%3A+Chiefs+35%2C+Raiders+22.%0D%0AArizona+Cardinals+%28-6.5%29+at+New+York+Jets.%0D%0ASunday%2C+1+p.m.+ET%2C+Fox.%0D%0AThe+Cardinals+have+lost+back-to-back+games%2C+but+a+trip+to+New+York+should+get+Kyler+Murray+pointed+back+in+the+right+direction.+The+Jets+rank+31st+in+the+NFL+in+scoring+offense%2C+and+Sam+Darnold+is+questionable+for+the+game+with+a+shoulder+injury.+Is+it+Joe+Flacco+time%3F%0D%0APick%3A+Cardinals+28%2C+Jets+20.%0D%0APhiladelphia+Eagles+at+Pittsburgh+Steelers+%28-7%29%0D%0ASunday%2C+1+p.m.+ET%2C+Fox.%0D%0AThe+Steelers+and+Eagles+meet+in+a+Keystone+State+rivalry%2C+and+it%27s+going+to+come+down+to+which+team+can+protect+the+quarterback+better.+The+teams+have+combined+for+32+sacks+this+season.+Pittsburgh+takes+advantage+of+the+unplanned+bye+week+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9D+and+the+Eagles%27+turnover+ratio+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9D+to+improve+to+4-0.%0D%0APick%3A+Steelers+27%2C+Eagles+19.%0D%0ALos+Angeles+Rams+%28-9%29+at+Washington+Football+Team.%0D%0ASunday%2C+1+p.m.+ET%2C+Fox.%0D%0AThe+Rams+sputtered+in+a+17-9+victory+against+the+Giants%2C+but+it+gets+well+against+a+Washington+team+that+has+lost+by+two+TDs+or+more+each+of+the+last+three+weeks+and+has+quarterback+questions+again.%0D%0APick%3A+Rams+30%2C+Redskins+14.%0D%0ACincinnati+Bengals+at+Baltimore+Ravens+%28-13.5%29%0D%0ASunday%2C+1+p.m.+ET%2C+CBS.%0D%0AJoe+Burrow+picked+up+his+first+victory+as+a+starter+in+Week+4+and+is+looking+to+add+to+a+streak+of+three+straight+300-yard+games.+The+other+side+is+the+issue+for+Cincinnati+in+this+one.+Lamar+Jackson+has+a+71+percent+completion+and+two+100-yard+rushing+games+in+three+career+starts+against+the+Bengals.%0D%0APick%3A+Ravens+34%2C+Bengals+20.%0D%0AJacksonville+Jaguars+at+Houston+Texans+%28-6.5%29%0D%0ASunday%2C+1+p.m.+ET%2C+CBS.%0D%0AThe+Texans+continue+to+spiral+out+of+control%2C+and+a+minus-5+turnover+ratio+isn%27t+helping+matters+for+Bill+O%27Brien.+Jacksonville+has+given+up+30-plus+points+in+their+last+three+losses%2C+but+they+find+a+way+to+pull+the+upset+on+the+road+in+a+shootout.%0D%0APick%3A+Jaguars+30%2C+Texans+27.%0D%0AMiami+Dolphins+at+San+Francisco+49ers+%28-8.5%29%0D%0ASunday%2C+4%3A05+p.m.+ET%2C+Fox.%0D%0AWe%27re+tempted+to+take+Miami+in+this+one%2C+especially+with+the+rash+of+injuries+in+San+Francisco.+The+49ers%2C+however%2C+bounce+back+at+home%2C+especially+if+Jimmy+Garoppolo+returns+from+a+high-ankle+sprain.+The+49ers+win%2C+but+it%27s+closer+than+expected.%0D%0APick%3A+49ers+27%2C+Dolphins+23.%0D%0AIndianapolis+Colts+%28-2.5%29+at+Cleveland+Browns.%0D%0ASunday%2C+4%3A25+p.m.+ET%2C+CBS.%0D%0AThe+Browns+upset+the+Cowboys+but+are+still+not+getting+the+respect+from+the+oddsmakers.+Some+of+that+is+because+of+Baker+Mayfield%27s+2-11+record+against+winning+teams+as+a+starter%2C+but+the+Browns+keep+that+momentum+moving+in+the+right+direction+at+home+with+another+big+victory.%0D%0APick%3A+Browns+28%2C+Colts+24.%0D%0ANew+York+Giants+at+Dallas+Cowboys+%28-9.5%29%0D%0ASunday%2C+4%3A25+p.m.+ET%2C+Fox.%0D%0AThis+game+normally+fills+the+SNF+window%2C+but+the+miserable+starts+on+both+sides+continue.+The+Cowboys+have+the+third-best+scoring+offense+and+third-worst+scoring+defense.+It+won%27t+matter+against+a+New+York+team+that+won%27t+be+able+to+take+advantage+of+the+bad+run+defense+enough.%0D%0APick%3A+Cowboys+33%2C+Giants+23.%0D%0AMinnesota+Vikings+at+Seattle+Seahawks+%28-7%29%0D%0ASunday%2C+8%3A20+p.m.+ET%2C+NBC.%0D%0AThe+Seahawks+continue+to+roll+with+MVP-candidate+Russell+Wilson.+Minnesota+can+make+it+interesting+if+Kirk+Cousins+continues+to+work+effectively+with+Justin+Jefferson+and+Adam+Thielen%2C+but+it+won%27t+matter+on+the+road.+Seattle+is+4-0+against+the+spread+this+season.%0D%0APick%3A+Seahawks+36%2C+Vikings+24.%0D%0ADenver+Broncos+at+New+England+Patriots+%28-11%29%0D%0AMonday%2C+5+p.m.+ET%2C+ESPN.%0D%0ABoth+teams+have+quarterback+questions+here.+Will+Drew+Lock+be+back+from+injury%3F+Will+Cam+Newton+be+cleared+after+testing+positive+for+COVID-19%3F+New+England+is+the+better+team%2C+and+this+game+makes+us+long+for+the+days+of+Tom+Brady+vs.+Peyton+Manning.%0D%0APick%3A+Patriots+28%2C+Broncos+19.%0D%0ALos+Angeles+Chargers+at+New+Orleans+Saints.%0D%0AMonday%2C+8%3A15+p.m.%2C+ESPN.%0D%0AThe+Saints%27+last+two+prime-time+experiences+were+not+great%2C+but+the+third+time+is+the+charm+against+a+reeling+Los+Angeles+team+that+might+be+without+Austin+Ekeler.+Drew+Brees+and+the+Saints+stay+on+track+with+a+second+straight+victory.%0D%0APick%3A+Saints+30%2C+Chargers+20.%0D%0ABuffalo+Bills+%28-8.5%29+at+Tennessee+Titans.%0D%0ATuesday%2C+7+p.m.+ET%2C+CBS.%0D%0AThe+Bills+have+a+chance+to+improve+to+5-0%2C+against+a+Titans+team+that+has+been+affected+by+COVID-19.+Forget+about+the+%22Music+City+Miracle%22+replays.+The+Bills+improve+to+5-0+heading+into+a+Week+6+TNF+showdown+with+the+Chiefs.+That%27s+a+big+line+on+the+road.%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A+%0D%0A+%0D%0A<a+href%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fbuy.fixed-matches-tips.com%2Fprediction-today-sure-win%2F31626-raptors-vs-76ers-game-7-prediction.html>raptors+vs+76ers+game+7+prediction<%2Fa>%0D%0A<a+href%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fbest.fixed-matches-tips.com%2Freal-source-fixed-matches%2F42604-vip-combo-fixed-matches-360.html>vip+combo+fixed+matches+360<%2Fa>%0D%0A<a+href%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fbest.fixed-matches-tips.com%2Freal-source-fixed-matches%2F43650-baseball-picks-for-2021-predictions-2021.html>baseball+picks+for+2021+predictions+2021<%2Fa>%0D%0A<a+href%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fbuy.fixed-matches-tips.com%2Ffixed-match%2F19617-top-300-fantasy-baseball-picks-rankings-chart.html>top+300+f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